That stuff scares adult men more than anything else.". And if you're wondering why the best receivers were so lukewarm this week, I'll refer you to the first of these player tables, where outside of Miami there was hardly a good passer to be found. Week 14 Staff Picks: Can Anyone in NFC Stop Eagles? No, he hasn't. Do I understand correctly that the digital version is only available for FO+ subscribers ? Then there is Josh Allen's elbow. Hiring Saturday is like something out of the 1920s barnstorming NFL days. That's OK, though, because he could always do things like this: Lawrence loses 48 DYAR to opponent adjustments. Jones didn't have a lot of luck on second downs, when he went 9-of-12 for 38 yards with one sack and only one first down: a 3-yard touchdown to Rhamondre Stevenson. I would be shocked if he didn't regress at least a bit, but the simple fact is that he has outplayed pretty much everyone so far. EXTRA 10% OFF 3+ ITEMS See all eligible items and terms. I have been trying really hard to find a dumber move. Tua's extension-eligible this offseason and Icannottell you how fast I'd throw money at him. They will be in shootouts the rest of the way, probably losing by double digits several times. by FO Customer Service. The Colts are considered a complete joke and they are 2nd!!!!! ", This is the kind of typo that gives Rams fans the night terrors. You think Cptn Quirk can out-DYAR Case Keenum? To give a counterexample, the Eagles had Pederson and Reich and won a Super Bowl with Wentz looking like an MVP and Foles actually earning Super Bowl MVP (undeservedly, but I digress). Hinton 1,173,080 ratings, 4.12 average rating, 40,992 reviews The Outsiders Quotes Showing 1-30 of 185 "I lie to myself all the time. It's not that the contrast between the starter and the replacement decides MVP, it's that looking at how a replacement performed can help give a little insight into the relative responsibility of the various players for the team performance. Throwing into triple coverage is a good indication that one has crossed the line from aggressive to foolish. Plus you had an elite QB who was dramatically underpaid (relative to actual value, not the league) so even cap constraints weren't actually serious. He was the week's worst quarterback in the first quarter, going 0-for-2 for three sacks, and then he failed to throw for a first down in the second half, going 10-of-17 for 51 yards with four more sacks and a pick-six. On Page xvi, Pythagorean Projection, Daryl Morey is no longer general manager of the Houston Rockets. "it's all the receiver, except that receiver didn't really make Bridgewater look very good at all." Rob Weintraub's tears dripping on the Steelers chapternever gets old. But, the catch is that I don't trust the front office to get that better talent. In reply to When was the last time a by theslothook. There is something between Tua is MVP and TUA is horrible and being carried by the supporting cast. Leading in passing DYAR (in fewer games), leading in DVOA , team offense basically tied with KC As for team success, those lowly 6-3 Dolphins are far behind the 6-2 Chiefs. He had all day to throw against the Bears and still somehow managed to under throw receivers. Nobody should be discussing whether Tua is better than Mahomes, and MVP has a strong team success requirement the Dolphins are not likely to meet. Known to Sports Illustrated's readers as "Dr. Z," Zimmerman was the first NFL writer to routinely incorporate game-film . ;). i'm a 15-yr buyer of almanac but first-time buyer of kubiak (thanks to fo+)silly question: why are there big ranking differences between the two? \ain't happening if the Dolphins finish 3rd in their division. If the projections are actually listed as different, e-mail us at fo-support@edjsports.com and we'll try to figure out what's going on. That would be very unfortunate, as I do not really need all the extra's that come with FO+. But you think Tua is the MVP. Football Outsiders Almanac 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 NFL and College Football Seasons Kindle Edition by Aaron Schatz (Author), Bill Connelly (Author), & 12 more Format: Kindle Edition 25 ratings See all formats and editions Kindle $10.80 Read with Our Free App Paperback $10.80 8 Used from $4.95 5 New from $9.20 Then you open up the play-by-play data and your jaw hits the floor. Playing Chicago before the trades vs. post trades are playing against two completely different teams. Help P-F-R Identify Historical Teams Offensive & Defensive Schemes. & Support the Writers Support Football Outsiders' independent media. Football Outsiders Almanac 2020: The Essential Guide to the 2020 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Verhei, Vincent, Spratt, Scott, Tanier, Mike, Knowles, Bryan, Klassen, Derrik, McCown, Rivers, Weintraub, Robert, Bassinger, Thomas, Potter, Andrew: 9798666296882: Amazon.com: Books Books Reference Encyclopedias & Subject Guides "Rodgers loses a league-high 59 DYAR due to opponent adjustments", Sam Ehlinger -172 DYAR "Ehlinger gains 54 DYAR". It is interesting to observe that Tua was struggling (or being asked to do little) in the games in which he was hurt, and Bridgewater did better against Cincinnati than Tua did. Football Outsiders is a data-driven football site that doesn't adhere to typical narratives about teams. Hurts' rushing numbers: seven carries for 25 yards, with one fumble. He was successful on a league-best 70% of his dropbacks. In reply to Tua has more DYAR than by Noahrk. which allows you to download from the tons of books that they feature. Thirty One Nil : On the Road with Football's Outsiders, a World C. $127.00. Allen threw the ball 70 yards in the air on the final play - there's no way he does that with even a partial tear. Download from Sports, Survival category. You're corny. like having someone read your book over your shoulder. If it were, we'd have to retroactively give all the MVP awards to Peyton Manning. In reply to Maybe someone else. McCown did, in fact, do it in '13, in Week 12. Hurts last year was seen as having substantially improved on a team not much better than the 4-11-1 mess he was on as a rookie. Today we review one book that would fit in any football lover's library, and one that shouldn't be read by any fan -- of anything. Especially when a ton of yall were saying there was basically no difference. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. Football Outsiders ( FO) is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. commentary for players at each ball-handling position, the year in quotes, etc.) He has turned things around since then, however, making our top five in Week 4 and Week 6. Aaron Schatz (Editor) 4.51. And an MVP with Tyreek. If they are too lengthy to list here you can email them to fo-support@edjsports.com. But dont confuse this for charity post: the FOA is a great guide, and Im sure anyone who buys it will be very happy. A non-zero amount should probably be attributed to McDaniels leaving, he's a terrific OC, and even if Patricia seems to be not terrible, there's no question who I'd rather have developing my young QB. I know this is a common turn of phrase, but maybe not the best choice when discussing Joe Mixon. I can't help but wonder what will happen when he has better talent around him (line and receivers, specifically). That 49ers Bears game was played on a field that more resembled late-November FedEx Field than an NFL playing surface. That's as solid a brain trust as you're going to find outside of Baltimore or 80s 49ers, In reply to I think this comment is a by theslothook. In reply to Open discussion thread? The ideal version of Russell Wilson is in that spectrum. Strange has fallen off a cliff the past two weeks with Andrews out. That's what I'm talking about. That is below PJ Walker and Baker Mayfield. Football Outsiders provides revolutionary, in-depth statistics you can't find anywhere else! But that is boring. That's why I think he's taking good players like Hill, Waddle and, yes, Tua and he's making them look even better. The last time that happened, the Bears ownership went nuts and went out and hired John Fox shortly after. That's why the discourse on Tua is becoming so divisive. The Cardinals' offense will aim to surpass the Football Outsiders projections in 2021. Hi, is there an FO sub that gives access to all prior season's AGL stats? It represents a moment of suspension before the batteries are recharged for the new millennium, an acknowledgment that preceding the future is a strange and hybrid interregnum that might be called the last gasp of the past.Gilbert Adair, British author, critic. Poor Sam. Tua has more DYAR than Mahomes despite 120 fewer pass attempts, and FWIW Tuaalso has a slightly higher PFF grade than Mahomes. Tua, as recently as August, had gotten his coach canned and his owner had tampered trying to get a better QB. Only four quarterbacks have ever qualified in a full seasonwith a DVOA of 50.0% or higher: Dan Marino. It wasn't all Aaron Rodgers' fault. (Fields' three passing touchdowns were also a career high, but that's a subject for another essay.) In reply to Narrative matters. Guys that probably wouldnt get elevated from most practice squads in the league. In reply to If Josh Allen can't go by Will Allen. Roll it into the 5 year extension and pull agent-speak to make it sound nice, but basically make it around Kyler or Allen's level. Perhaps age is now starting to affect him but unlike the other terrible owners, Jim has also tasted a SB victory and has seen what a good coaching staff and organization looks like; so hopefully that should check his tempetations to assume he knows best. In reply to The biggest news of the by colonialbob. Football Outsiders Almanac 2022: The Essential Guide to the 2022 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Acosta, J.P., Clinton, Cale, Klassen, Derrik, Knowles, Bryan, McCown, Rivers, Pizzuta, Dan, Tanier, Mike, Verhei, Vincent, Weintraub, Robert: 9798840151822: Amazon.com: Books Skip to main content Hello Select your address Books Unfortunately for Allen and the Bills, he wasn't nearly as effective throwing the ball (and he'd be the first to tell you that), and New York beat Buffalo 20-17. You saw this in both Indy and in Denver. The most authoritative and innovative annual guide to both the NFL and college football is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Realistically, he's a candidate for OPY, but MVPs need to be on teams that get a top two seed. It was Rodgers' first three-interception game since Week 5 of 2017, and he has already thrown seven this season, the most he has thrown since 2016. All the 'their record will prevent him from winning the award' talk is foolish to me- aren't they undefeated when he finishes a game and winless when he hasn't? Read reviews from world's largest community for readers. Fields made it obvious he could do that in college against Clemson in the CFP and it seems to be translating to the NFL. The . I was able to order my paper copy from Amazon UKtoday. The book is jam-packed with their signature data (including game-charting stats), plus their usual stat-geeky essays, team and player perviews, and 2013 projections. Help P-F-R Identify Historical Teams Offensive & Defensive Schemes. That's more value on the ground than Kaepernick, Daunte Culpepper, Robert Griffin, Russell Wilson, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Steve McNair, Donovan McNabb, Steve Young, or Randall Cunningham ever had in a game. I think if Tua lands first across the board on the advanced metrics, he should win; the standings be damned. Their plan to help Fields this past offseason was to spend resources on defense in free agency (Larry Ogunjobi was their first free agent signing, but failed his physical and they had to sit out a couple days waiting for that to unfold) and the draft (two defensive backs, then a 25-year-old kick returner/gadget WR whom they have pulled off return duties and was inactive last week with Claypool added, then a bunch of late-round lottery ticket offensive linemen). Which is possible. we hope to have you around! But geez, the AFC South is a tragedy. In reply to I don't think Tanier's by Noahrk, I don't think Tanier's opinion of Tua is that low anymore. Thirty-One Nil: The Amazing Story of World Cup Qualification by Montague, James. I think Irsay has been an OK owner. Then there is Josh Allen's elbow. Where has this sudden inaccuracy come from though? And that spectrum is ginormous. The Outsiders S. E. Hinton Penguin, May 15, 2012 - Young Adult Fiction - 208 pages 239 Reviews Reviews aren't verified, but Google checks for and removes fake content when it's identified 50. Maybe this is just a perfect storm of a bad OC swap and a sophmore slump coming together at the same time with an ankle injury. As long as the Eagles keep winning, Jalen Hurts will be the leader in the MVP race. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Correlations are between projected and actual win percentages. I seldom am curious about such things, but it ain't often you get such a swing in play value by having a zebra block a player. Those two sentences are painful to read one after the other. He failed to complete a single pass down the middle of the field, going 0-for-2 with an interception. (Or it shouldn't be.). This is the 17th annual version of the book that theBoston Globecalled the "Bible for superfans and fantasy football leaguers." And, really, to a great extent Tua's time missed is partly his own fault. Maybe, but it's harder to maintain quality with higher volume. 27 comments, Last at 20 Jul 2021, 10:22am. Everyone's excited about how Fields has taken off the last three weeks, but my question is what took them so long to include the designed runs as part of their offense. If Josh Allen can't go Sunday, The Kirkster's run of good fortune might continue. One question; how much DYAR did Heinicke get, when the zebra threw a block on a Viking safety poised for an int., so Heinicke could get a 49 yard td pass? "The Outsiders transformed young-adult fiction from a genre mostly about prom queens, football players and high school crushes to one that portrayed a darker, truer world." --The New York Times "Taut with tension, filled with drama." --The Chicago Tribune "[A] classic coming-of-age book." In reply to Playing Chicago by Otis Taylor89, The defense probably wasn't good to begin with and now it is abysmal. Two of them came on first down, when he lost 21 yards on three sacks and gained only 17 yards on six completions, with four incomplete passes mixed in. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2016 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. AlL tYrEeK. If you mean in the minds of MVP voters, I agree, of course. Previous post: Cross-Post: Help Wanted! don't get me wrong they were delighted, but they still couldn't believe that he decided to throw there. In reply to I think Jim's drugs of by Kaepernicus. If the Dolphins hadn't missed a beat with Bridgewater, then clearly it would've been the system/players elevating the QB. by James-London. Narrative matters. In one stretch from the second quarter to the fourth, he completed 15 passes in a row for 135 yards and a touchdown. The good news is, you are also allowed to run the ball inside the opponents' 40. In reply to I hate doing this, because by Vincent Verhei. Each of Allgeier's 10 carries gained at least 2 yards. Heinicke's average completion gained a league-low 2.8 yards after the catch. And that spectrum is ginormous. his numbers have suspiciously gone up a lot with Hill's arrival. I agree with you. Envos gratis en el da Compra online de manera segura con Compra Protegida The Barcelona Complex: Lionel Messi And The Making--and Unma Answers eBookLobby is a free source of eBooks from different categories like, computer, arts, education and business. Read reviews from world's largest community for readers. I am starting to think that toughness may be one of the most underrated traits of a QB. Tua's having a nice season, but he's QBing for a 2nd place team, his numbers have suspiciously gone up a lot with Hill's arrival, and there are a few QBs who simply pass the eyeball test a lot better. The print edition ofFootball Outsiders Almanac 2021should be available on Amazon.com by the end of the week and will cost $29.99. Yeah, clearly it's his receivers. Summary . He was the week's best passer in the fourth quarter/overtime, when he went 10-of-12 for 121 yards and a touchdown. His only run was a 5-yard loss on an aborted snap. One way to solve this to just hold off on QB proclamations until they've had a number of years to show who they are. The Outsiders Quotes by S.E. The Bears played a lot of below average QBs to start the season. In the Intro (in the PDF), there's a bunch of oddly hyphenated words (ex-panded, interfer-ence,finan-cial, etc.). In reply to I think it says something by theslothook. Use promo code, Book Review: Polian Shares Championship Secrets, FO Book Review: Sports Analytics by Ben Alamar, The Games That Changed the Game Podcast and Contest, FO Book Review: The Games That Changed the Game, ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (ISBN 1478201526) Read more about this topic: Football Outsiders. The biggest news of the weekend was the Colts hiring Jeff Saturday as HC. In previous years I've downloaded the PDF, and I was pleasantly surprised that readers can comment on the pages for each team in the digital edition. Preseason football, but real football nonetheless. Inside his own 20-yard line, he went 2-of-7 for only 8 yards. The NFL as a whole is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, which would be an all-time record, and the average team is running for over 120 yards per game for the first time since 1988. Probably not, but that doesn't change what he's done so far this year. Of course players look better when they have better teammates.But then, Hill is playing better than he ever did with Mahomes. If he keeps up his current level of play over the second half of the season, he certainly deserves consideration for MVP (especially with the Bills and Chiefs looking suddenly mortal and no single player really standing out in the NFC). And Justin Fields? I mean, Mike Tanier's opinion on Tua issuper-low, for instance, and that makes zippo sense to me. Well that was bizarre. It's tough to decide which other NFL team is as reliant on their starting QB playing great than Buffalo. In those 10 minutes, he went 2-of-9 for 11 yards with a sack. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. He's like a bizarro Jimmy G. Still seems to be pointing and shooting which would help explain why a QB with his profile would have such bad YAC numbers, even with a mediocre set of weapons. All he did was break a rushing record for his position that has stood for two decades. I mean Zappe was significantly more accurate and was generating an extra yard of YAC with the same weapons for roughly 3 games. Aaron Rodgers -142 DYAR. Pretty good chance that every decent offense has a big day vs the Bears the rest of the way, In reply to The defense probably wasn't by JonesJon. Hiring Saturday is like something out of the 1920s barnstorming NFL days. That's a 9.6-yard average, which is underwhelming when compared to The Best QB Rushing Games of the Last Four Decades, but seven of those carries gained first downs, and he also had a 9-yard gain on first-and-10; by success rate, he was even more reliable than Fields. Context matters. Free shipping. Will he continue to do that? In reply to Context matters. Also, he's competing with Waddle, which is not nothing. He was nearly perfect in short yardage: the Bengals handed off to Mixon 10 times with 4 yards or less to go for a first down, and he moved the chains nine times. Football Outsiders Almanac 2015. Will Georgia's Balanced Attack Win Another Championship? Pro Football Forecast 2004 (ISBN 1574886584); Pro Football Prospectus 2005 (ISBN 0761140190); Pro Football Prospectus 2006 (ISBN 0761142177); Pro Football Prospectus 2007 (ISBN 0452288479); Pro Football Prospectus 2008 (ISBN 0452289734); Football Outsiders Almanac 2009 (ISBN 1448648459); Football Outsiders Almanac 2010 (ISBN 1453671188); Football Outsiders Almanac 2011 (ISBN 1466246133) I mean, Gesicki's not Kelce. Tua wont win MVP, but the reality is a lot closer than youre suggesting. By precisely which measures has Mahomes been better? The story of an 11-year-old girl from Jamaica, it makes the argument that all working-class or outsider art makes: find room on the shelves for all the unheard stories. The site is run by a staff of regular writers, who produce a series of weekly columns using both the site's in-house statistics and their personal analyses of NFL games. Really? If that pass had been intercepted, how much DYAR would have Heinicke lost? I'm not insulting either Dungy or Polian. Though he is not among the top 20 quarterbacks in total passing plays, he has now overtaken Patrick Mahomes for the season lead in passing DYAR and has a DVOA of 50.5%. We have new, innovative methods for analyzing skill players, offensive and defensive lines, special . He's basically played as many good defenses as Tua, but has gotten three fewer games against bad ones. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. In Chapter 1 , two black boys head for home when they see an unmarked police car headed for Estelle Barga Recreational Park. In reply to Should be soon! He was also the week's worst passer on throws to tight ends (9-of-11 for 89 yards and two interceptions) and down the middle of the field (6-of-11 for 59 yards with two interceptions). I feel bad for Colts fans. If he needs TJ surgery this could alter the NFL landscape for multiple years. The end of the Almanac includes an Acknowledgments section. had a bunch of turnovers in scoring range, which often left Goff trying and failing to dig the Lions out of poor field position. He was playing extremely well through the first 10 weeks as a rookie and has essentially fallen off a cliff since then. Carr's 38-yard touchdown pass to Davante Adams put Las Vegas up 17-0 less than 20 minutes into the game. Thats because Ive moved over to the Contributors section. Tua is #1 in PFF's metric, #1 in both of FootballOutsider's metrics (DVOA+DYAR), #1 in ESPN's QBR, and #1 traditional passer rating. Entirely. based on questions of intrinsic value and have always been about numbers. Football Outsiders - Books. Rate this book . In Chapter 2, on the day of Frank. My EyE tEsT.". Bill Polian, architect of Super Bowl teams in Buffalo and Indianapolis, reveals the stories behind developing many NFL champions. He had a very bad day as a passer inside the Jets 40, going 2-of-6 for 8 yards with one interception, one sack, and zero touchdowns. These statistics are complete from 1984 to 2021 and will be updated weekly throughout the 2022 NFL season. The book details the conflict between two rival gangs divided by their socioeconomic status: the working-class "greasers . That is fair. Burrow was the week's best passer on throws to running backs, going 5-of-7 for 61 yards and a touchdown. Keep a watchful eye on footballoutsiders.com and remember to utilize the offer: Up to 25% Off Your Bookins + 50% Off For Kids. We know about strategical inefficiencies, that's why sites like this exist, and McDaniel is on top of that. Mike Pereira's new book details his early days as an Alaskan baseball player, his bout with cancer, and his career as the NFL's Supervisor of Officials -- and the changes he would make to improve the game. In between those two stuffs, Mixon carried the ball a dozen times, picking up 96 yards and seven more first downs. MORE+ Dec 19, 2024 18608 used Verified Screenshot Click to Save Recommend 30% OFF Receive 30% off on closeout products He's the first quarterback to throw three interceptions against the Lions since Kyler Murray in Week 3 of 2020. Not right now, but the last five years of data for each team are published in Football Outsiders Almanac. Fields is currently getting a boost of 2 rushing DYAR for playing the Dolphins, but opponent adjustments can and will fluctuate, and he could easily find himself at the top of this table when all is said and done. I'm different that way. He only threw for three first downs after that, none of which came in the last 10 minutes of the fourth quarter. No onein the league is Kelce. Is he closer to Goff or is he closer to Wilson or perhaps even better than that? In reply to There is something between by KnotMe. Sure I agree. Zero first downs, zero successful plays, four stuffs, and a long gain of 5 yards (on second-and-12, at that). If you enjoy my work here, youll probably enjoy reading what I wrote about those three teams. In reply to MVP isn't about who's by colonialbob. Thirteen of Fields' 15 carries picked up first downs, including seven conversions in eight carries on third or fourth down. Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 by Aaron Schatz Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 book. Oh, I'm not trying to say Tua is suddenly a top 3 QB going forward or anything. It's tough to decide which other NFL team is as reliant on their starting QB playing great than Buffalo. "Jeff has been chilling in High School FB so he hasn't been exposed to all this analytics mumbo jumbo. In reply to Yeah, I completely don't get by Mike B. I mean, maybe, but it was literally one week ago to the day that he was saying the Dolphins should balk at handing him a long-term contract. Irsay may need to stop owning the team before they are a contender again. The Chicago scrambler's raw totals against Miami15 carries, 178 yards, an 11.9-yard average, and one touchdownare impressive enough. We listed Mixon as one of the worst running backs in football in Week 1 and Week 3, at which point he was averaging only 2.8 yards per carry. Yes, most of those throws were to Joe Mixon, although Samaje Perine did catch one ball for a 3-yard gain on third-and-5. Whether or not he misses some time is still up in the air, though. It's somehow dumber than the Texans attempting to make McCown their new HC the last few years. Aaron Schatz, founder of Football Outsiders, an indispensable resource for fans of advanced football statistics, has been consulting with NFL teams for years. When was the last time a Bears QB finished 2nd in DYAR in any week? That led to a complete disintegration of the coaching staff, and led to the owner hiring someone from the coaching tree of the guy who hedidwant to credit for the Super Bowl win (Reich). However, if by some chance you dont know of them, or maybe you havent heard about their outstanding annual book, they now have copies of the 2013 Football Outsiders Almanac available for purchase. In reply to Maybe, but it's harder to by Noahrk. Hinton's classic story of a boy who finds himself on the outskirts of regular society remains as powerful today as it was the day it was first published. Save 10% & Support the Writers Support Football Outsiders' independent media. Football Outsiders has been a supporter of Chase Stuart for a while and Football Perspective from the beginning. Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 book. When you watch his film inverting the vertical he looks like a completely different player. Mariota's average throw traveled 14.9 yards downfield, most in the NFL this week by over 2 full yards. I don't think Tanier's opinion of Tua is that low anymore. It seems like Mac wants to read deep to short, whereas Zappe reads short to deep. Taylor Heinicke's numbers are bad but how bad would they have been if that long touchdown to Samuel had been picked, like it likely would have been had the back judge not collided with Cam Bynum as he was tracking down the ball? Brady threw 10 failed completions, tied for most in the league this week. But YAR/DYAR is a counting stat, and Tua did it in ~1.5 fewer games. Bears front 7 consists of journeymen, UDFAs, and late round picks still on rookie deals. Praise for The Outsiders "The Outsiders transformed young-adult fiction from a genre mostly about prom queens, football players and high school crushes to one that portrayed a darker, truer world." -- The New York Times "Taut with tension, filled with drama." -- The Chicago Tribune "[A] classic coming-of-age book." I'm cautiously optimistic. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, KUBIAK fantasy football projections with over 500 player profiles, and breakdowns of the top 50 . As for PFF, we're trying to have a serious conversation here. Per the Almanac the Bills ranked 21st. Either way Mac does not have the arm talent to be this inaccurate and continue starting in the NFL. The Outsiders is a coming-of-age novel by S.E. About the author (2011) Aaron Schatz is the creator of FootballOutsiders.com and the proprietary NFL statistics within Football Outsiders Almanac, including DVOA, DYAR, Adjusted Line Yards, and. Then you open up the play-by-play data and your jaw hits the floor. I think it probably comes down to him and Lamar. More volume. With that kind of efficiency on the ground, the Bengals didn't need to throw often against the Panthers but when they did, they often threw to Mixon. I see based on his ALEX that he seems to be pushing the ball further downfield. I wrote team essays for the Giants, Eagles, and Jets, along with player comments for the majority of players on those teams. Left with Travis Kelce. In reply to As for the latter part of by Will Allen, Yeah, Ive defended Jimmy around these parts before, but Ive got nothing for the Saturday hiring. But if Tua falters, you just know he'll be saying "it's what we knew all along". ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews), Despite a crummy rushing day (two carries for zero yards, with a fumble) Tagovailoa finishes as our top-ranked quarterback, the third time in his seven Quick Reads appearances this year that he has ranked first or second. Obviously, they do have similarish plays where a penalty reverses an INT or TD, causing a huge outcome swing. Other articles related to "book, books ": Hinton was 18 when the book was published. The novel tells the story of Ponyboy Curtis and his struggles with right and wrong in a society in which he believes that he is an outsider. Wilson had the week's best DYAR on throws to receivers at or behind the line of scrimmage, going 6-of-7 for 28 yards and a touchdown. Help? Because MVP voters think QBWinz is the best stat. There is no way they get the same value for Nelson/Buckner in the off-season. It's like an Al Davis on cocaine move. This is the most insane coaching change I have ever seen. The defense looked horrible vs Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins and Roquan Smith was still out there when they got picked apart by Dak. Yall really gonna make me post the list again just to ignore and go "tHaT dOeSn'T mAtTeR. What If Justin Herbert Isn't All That Great? Football Outsiders projects 7.9 wins for Buffalo, which is 17th best in the league. He also gained 8 yards on a DPI. Rodgers loses a league-high 59 DYAR due to opponent adjustments. You had a head coach that could focus entirely on one side and not even have toreviewthe success of the other side. 4. Put it all together and Fields had 79 rushing DYAR. We've literally never seen Mahomes with a bad set of receivers: Kelce was already an All Pro when Mahomes got there. I always thought it was unfortunate that Faulk was a decade or two early. Also, the O-line is noticeably worse this year. That includes conversions on five of his six carries on third down, the longest a 36-yard touchdown. Fields was unstoppable on designed runs (seven carries, each of which gained a first down, for 69 yards and a 9.9-yard average), and he was nuclear on scrambles (five first downs in seven carries, a total of 110 yards, a 15.7-yard average), a fact that caused Mike McDaniel no end of consternation. Goff is in that spectrum. Itll be hilarious, In reply to Please come back by anthonytwotimes. Seeing the CHI coaching staff lean into Fields strengths has been pretty incredible. I understand the teardown of the defense at the trade deadline and why they are taking a swing at Claypool. Bourne's totals include -2 rushing DYAR for his one carry for 1 yard. by johjas2003. . We have gotten so numb to QB rushing totals that this record-breaking performance has largely flown under the radar. His pressure rate has not gone up much and somehow his on target rate has fallen below Trey Lance. Reich left, and the offense struggled afterwards: when Pederson tried to switch away from Wentz, there was backlash because the owner didn't trust that Pederson was actually the important piece of the '17 Super Bowl win. Walker's average dropback came with a league-low 7.6 yards to go for a first down which makes it even more appalling that he was only successful 10% of the time, worst of any qualifier this week. Now, mind you, living in Philly -- if you offered me Mahomes or Allen for Hurts, I'd agree and be gone so fast I'd red-shift. And then Mixon took the field against Carolina and chose violence. Did NE cut down the RPO/PA heavy system they had last year after the coordinator swap? He probably gets votes but I don't think he has much of a shot unless Miami wins their division. I hate doing this, because you can do it with literally any play in any game, but: The touchdown was worth 39 DYAR for Heinicke. by Swjeppe. He runs his mouth a lot and the recent headlines suggest hes not above doing wacko things. Not saying Tua is or should be the favorite right now but all this dismissal is just silly. MVP isn't about who's "better" but who has had the best season, and Tua is certainly in the discussion there. In reply to Sure I agree. These certainly have less value than the team essays in a digital edition, since the content outside single-team sections -- or a reasonable substitute for it -- is often available elsewhere on the site. Thanks for suggestions, we'll definitely be working on ways to improve the digital edition in the future. Former All Pac-10 Tackle I'm very happy that refs rarely get 100 DYAR swing plays. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. In reply to Fo digital edition error by dogonthetrack. Yeah, I completely don't get it. Mahomes beats your'n with his'n, and beats his'n with your'n. This looks like a tank move and the roster is still constructed to win now. In that last article he acknowledged part of the offensive success of the Dolphins is due to Tua and not in spite of Tua, which is a lot more than many posters here give him credit for. Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? Herbert loses 53 DYAR to opponent adjustments. Football Outsiders Almanac 2009: The Essential Guide to the 2009 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Alamar, Benjamin, Barnwell, Bill, Carroll, Will, Connelly, Bill, Farrar, Doug, Fremeau, Brian, Macey, Ned, McCormick, Sean, Moore, Bill: 9781448648450: Amazon.com: Books Books Sports & Outdoors Football (American) Buy new: $8.32 The biggest news of the weekend was the Colts hiring Jeff Saturday as HC. He was the week's best passer out of the no-huddle, going 15-of-20 for 112 yards, plus two DPIs for 38 more yards. Otherwise its just sparkling consequences for your actions. Those subscriptions are now on sale through July 31, you get an annual subscription for just $1 per week for the entire year. He Did, Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. You just didn't need to worry about certain things anymore. Ehlinger gains 54 DYAR due to opponent adjustmentswithout them, this would have qualified for our Worst QB Games Ever table. In reply to Seeing the CHI coaching by Kaepernicus. The most authoritative and innovative guide to professiona. Whatever other ups and downs the Bears and Bills have seen this year, they have been able to count on Fields and Allen to make plays with their legs; after Sunday's games, the two quarterbacks rank first and second at the position in rushing DYAR this season (though Lamar Jackson is in third place and could pass one or both of them with a big game on Monday night). Well that's bizarre and irritating. I've been purchasing the Almanac since 2008 when it was still the Prospectus, buying the printed and the digital version since 2012. Yeah read that and skipped down to comment. In reply to I don't think Tanier's by Pat. Mind you, just because he threw deep often doesn't mean he threw deep well. While we allow for international sales, the availabilityis really in the hands of Amazon through their operationsand logistics side. It's over 500 pages of cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. He may actually be tough/talented/smart enough to overcome his horrendous awareness and turn into an above average starter. The fact that it didn't implies (but obviously doesn't conclusively prove) that Tua is a significant part of the success. Honestly, it's not unknown for QB to have one year where they do waaay better than their baseline due to everything comming together. Brandin Cooks went from Drew Brees to Tom Brady to Jared Goff to Deshaun Watson to Davis Mills, and you'd never know from his stats. Same thing happened in Denver as well. This makes it seem like the struggles are tied to scheme more than anything. Detroit Lions Receivers Key to Daily Fantasy. Prime Jim Irsay was a top 5/10 owner. My Sam Ehlinger thumbnail: The Colts coaches replaced their QB with an inanimate carbon rod, let's see if the owner notices. I mean yeah, obviously, there's still half a season to play so you'd expect things to change, but it's still silly to dismiss Tua as even part of the MVP conversation as of right now. He is also taking a lot more sacks with a very similar pressure rate. Tua got to miss the Jets game, who are the 3rd best defense the Dolphins have played. And then Mixon took the field against Carolina. Football Outsiders Almanac 2021: The Essential Guide to the 2021 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Klassen, Derrik, Knowles, Bryan, McCown, Rivers, Pizzuta, Dan, Potter, Andrew, Tanier, Mike, Verhei, Vincent, Weintraub, Robert, Yedor, Carl: 9798534032932: Amazon.com: Books Books Reference Encyclopedias & Subject Guides Buy new: The worst part about the choice was all the people they decided not to move at the trade deadline. Books. And while the Bills, Bengals, and Bears could hardly be more different in our playoff odds (Buffalo remains our favorites to win the AFC, Cincinnati has a 50-50 chance to make the playoffs, and Chicago will likely be drafting in the top 10), in about three hours on Sunday afternoon, they each produced some of the best rushing performances we have ever seen. Captain Quirk now hasfourDYAR victories: Rodgers, Goff, Fields and Heinicke. His average completion gained 12.4 yards after the catch, most of any qualified passer this week, but well, there were only five of them. He's on pace to have his most productive season, by hundreds of yards, not even including the 17th game. In reply to Where has this sudden by Kaepernicus. He attempted two passes against Buffalo. Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. But Coach Nerd-Glasses doesnt believe in using TEs, so hes getting like 60% of the old Kelce targets. His efficiency is about the same as it was in 2017 and 2018 in KC. And all three of those interceptions came inside the Detroit 40 (two of them within the Detroit 5), where he went 7-of-19 for 61 yards with one touchdown, plus a 17-yard DPI. In just one half of action, he was the week's worst passer on throws to wide receivers (0-for-4 with an interception), on deep balls (two throws, both intercepted), and on throws to his right (2-of-5 for 4 yards with two picks). If he got "downgraded" so badly, wouldn't we be seeing a different outcome? He finished with five targets, catching four of them for 58 yards and three first downs: a 35-yard gain on first-and-10, a 3-yard gain on second-and-2, and a 12-yard touchdown on third-and-10. Full previews for all 32 NFL teams and the top 50 projected NCAA teams, plus over 500 player comments andKUBIAK fantasy football projections are all included. Staff Writer If you need more help with the Almanac or FO+, please visit the Football Outsiders Help Center or e-mail us at fo-support@edjsports.com. Doug Farrar reviews the new pro football strategy book by Ron Jaworski and Greg Cosell, with a little help from one of the authors. Four went for first downs, including gains of 10 and 44 yards. Only Vick (who averaged nearly 20 yards per carry and also scored twice) has ever had a rushing day better than Fields. So it'sextremelyunfair to say "hey, when he got a top tier receiver, his numbers got better" because Mahomes hasalways had one. Literally the most insane thing I have seen in decades of NFL fandom. The next time Mixon was stuffed, the score was 42-7 late in the third quarter, and Cincinnati's lead had grown to 42-7. His two receptions were a 7-yard gain on second-and-17 and a 3-yard gain (with a fumble, recovered by Green Bay) on third-and-5. The next time Mixon was stuffed, the score was 42-7 late in the third quarter. Football Outsiders provides revolutionary, in-depth statistics you can't find anywhere else! Definitely could have chosen to phrase that differently. Bridgewater hasn't looked great, but three of the four games he's come into have been against good defenses. Manning's the offense, and the head coach is defense/organizational. He had WR2s in KC, too. Support Football Outsiders' independent media. You literally had an entire power dynamic (playcaller/quarterback) which was missing. He's up to .500! I would expect nothing but throws to Diggs out of Keenum in this offense. Aaron Rodgers (SPOILER!) Whereas it's hard to imagine Tua will keep up this pace. Tom Gower reviews Jeff Duncan's new book on the Payton-Brees relationship and finds insightful revelations about what makes the duo -- particularly Payton -- so effective. There's something about being left-handed that weirds our brains out. by ImNewAroundThe. 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